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☆ Investing veterans break down their outlook for the year ahead as markets return to pre-2008 conditions
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-18 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Goldman Sachs said the S&P 500 can climb 8% in 2024 as pre-2008 conditions return. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. The major indexes are up in 2023, with the S&P 500 notching a healthy gain of more than 17% year-to-date. Gene Goldman, chief investment officer at Cetera Investment Management, said he expects about a 10% gain for the S&P 500 in 2024. Meanwhile, Jeff Buchbinder, chief equity strategist for LPL Financial, expects "high single-digit returns" in 2024.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, —, David Russell, Russell, boomers, Millennials, Steve Wyett, Wyett, Mark Hackett, Hackett, Gene Goldman, Brian Price, Jeff Buchbinder, Goldman Organizations: Service, Federal, Fed, BOK Financial, Nationwide, Business, Cetera Investment Management, LPL Financial

☆ Markets see higher odds the Fed plows ahead with rate hikes after the blowout September jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-06 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Friday's jobs report came in well above expectations, leading markets to see higher odds of another rate hike. AdvertisementAdvertisementAfter the red-hot September jobs report, markets are pricing in higher odds for the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates at the November meeting. Investors are now staring down the prospect of higher for longer interest rates. "Bond markets are reflecting an outlook for better growth as rates move higher and equities are digesting an environment where earnings might be better, but higher rates are a headwind to valuation." Bank of America strategists, for their part, warned that stocks have room to fall further before the Fed pulls back on interest rates.

Persons: —, CME's, Steve Wyett Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, The Labor Department, Treasury, BOK, Bank of America, Fed Locations: Treasurys

Usually when a meeting of the Federal Reserve is on the week’s calendar, economists and market strategists focus on the decision to come. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has all but said policymakers would be on hold for this meeting as they digest recent economic data and consider the effects that 11 interest rate hikes have had on the economy. But the Fed will issue a new set of economic forecasts and projections about where interest rates will be over the remaining months of 2023 and in 2024, along with the unemployment rate. However, the LEI has been flashing a recession signal now for many months. “While the LEI continues to signal recession, incoming data show a resilient economy,” said Sam Bullard, managing director and senior economist at Wells Fargo’s corporate and investment unit.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, ” Steve Wyett, Wyett, LEI, ”, Sam Bullard, ” Bullard Organizations: Federal, BOK Financial, Wells, Congress Locations: U.S

Sept 18 (Reuters) - Cadence Bank (CADE.N) CEO Dan Rollins calls the regional banking crisis from earlier this year "March madness." Interviews with half a dozen regional bank executives and economists show the March banking crisis has had a lasting impact on the regional banking industry and the economy. Torsten Slok, chief economist at Apollo Global Management, said the banking crisis had "a magnifying effect" on the Fed's tightening but its full impact would come with a lag. The failure triggered a crisis of confidence, with depositors moving their money from regional banks to the perceived safety of the largest lenders. The KBW Regional Bank Index (.KRX) is down about 20% since early March despite a summer rebound.

Persons: Dan Rollins, Rollins, Mark Zandi, ”, Zandi, Torsten Slok, Slok, Cadence's Rollins, Steve Wyett, Wyett, Banks, Cadence’s Rollins, Randy Chesler, Chesler, Moody's Zandi, Jeff Jackson, Raj Singh, Singh, Paritosh Bansal, Anna Driver Organizations: Cadence Bank, Moody’s, Apollo Global Management, Bank, Reuters Graphics, Valley, Regional, BOK, Federal, Loan, Thomson Locations: . Federal, Silicon, Tulsa , Oklahoma, Kalispell , Montana, Wheeling , West Virginia

☆ What the August jobs report means for the Fed
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-02 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Washington, DC CNN —The long-robust US job market is continuing to cool, according to several economic indicators released this week. It’s clear the labor market has cooledThere are plenty of signs that the job market has continued to weaken and that momentum is largely expected to continue in the months ahead. The August jobs report showed that average hourly earnings grew at a monthly pace of just 0.2%, or 4.3% annually. “Pretty much everything in the labor market has cooled back to the pre-pandemic temperature,” Julia Pollak, chief economist at ZipRecruiter, told CNN. It’s also possible the job market holds steady if recession fears continue to fade, allowing businesses to address stubborn staffing shortages.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, “, ”, Steve Wyett, ” Julia Pollak, we’ve, Nick Bunker, ” Bunker, It’s, they’ve, ” Pollak Organizations: DC CNN, Federal Reserve, Kansas City, Labor, BOK Financial, Fed, of Labor Statistics, Labor Department, CNN, Commerce Department, US, Banks Locations: Washington, Jackson Hole , Wyoming

☆ Another earnings season begins, but investors are already looking beyond it
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

New York CNN —As the second-quarter earnings season kicks off this week, investors want answers on the health of the United States’ companies and its economy. The projected second-quarter earnings decline for companies listed in the S&P 500 is roughly 7.6% compared to the prior year, according to FactSet. That would be the third consecutive quarter of declines and the largest earnings decline reported by the broad-based index since a roughly 32% loss during the second quarter of 2020. But investors will be looking even more closely at what companies forecast for their financial performance and the broader economy. Energy secretary vows to replenish Strategic Petroleum ReserveEnergy Secretary Jennifer Granholm said the United States will refill the depleted Strategic Petroleum Reserve, reports my colleague Matt Egan.

Persons: It’s, ”, Paul Eitelman, What’s, Steve Wyett, Jennifer Granholm, Matt Egan, Joe Biden, “, ” Granholm, Biden, Granholm, ” Read, Danielle Wiener, ” Jared Bernstein, Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, United, Wealth Management, Gross, North America, Russell Investments, Macy’s, Costco, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, BOK Financial, Energy, Strategic Petroleum Reserve Energy, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, CNN, The Energy Department, Bronner, of Labor Statistics, of Economic Advisers Locations: New York, United States, Wells Fargo, BlackRock, Ukraine, That’s

"But at the same time, it just puts the Fed in a position where they've got more work to do." Wall Street's main indexes ended sharply lower in a broad selloff in the previous session, with the benchmark S&P 500 posting its biggest daily percentage drop in six weeks, after employment data on Thursday showed the number of jobs more than doubled in June. Six of the 11 major S&P 500 sectors advanced in mid-day trading, with commodity stocks such as energy (.SPNY) and materials (.SPLRCM) up over 1% each and outperforming the broader market. Among other movers, the S&P 500 banking index (.SPXBK) gained 1.4%. The S&P index recorded three new 52-week highs and four new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 28 new highs and 49 new lows.

Persons: Levi Strauss, we're, Steve Wyett, they've, Austan Goolsbee, Russell, Wells, Tesla, Bansari Mayur Kamdar, Johann M, Caroline Valetkevitch, Shinjini Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, BOK, Traders, Chicago Fed, Dow Jones, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Alibaba, Ant Group, NYSE, Thomson Locations: Beijing, Washington, China, Bengaluru

☆ Meme stock mania may finally be over
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-06 | by ( Paul R. La Monica | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Meme stocks, that is. Shares of movie theater chain AMC (AMC) have plummeted 55% this year. But investors may also be realizing that companies like GameStop, AMC and Bed Bath & Beyond face legitimate challenges. But mostly, investors are aware of the fact that in uncertain times like this, it may make more sense to play it safe instead of taking a huge gamble on a meme stock. Add all that up and it’s a miserable time for investors to be considering speculative meme stocks.

☆ The Fed may have to blow up the economy to get inflation under control
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-30 | by ( Paul R. La Monica | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Jobs report also on tapThe Fed meeting takes place just two days before the nation will get its next report card on the labor market. Another jobs report, from payroll processor ADP, is also due out next week, and this one looks just at Corporate America. The government said in the September jobs report that average hourly earnings rose 5% in the past 12 months. The Fed typically prefers to see wage growth in the 2% to 3% annual range as a sign that inflation is under control. Discovery, Starbucks (SBUX), PayPal (PYPL), Amgen (AMGN) and Block (SQ)Friday: US jobs report; earnings from Cardinal Health (CAH), Duke Energy (DUK) and Hershey (HSY)

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